Were the UK an emerging market the hedge fund vultures would already be circling following the rise in the current account deficit to 4% of GDP last year – the largest in the developed world. While the UK won’t have an emerging-markets style balance of payments crisis, the deficit isn’t going to go away. The upshot is that another substantial fall in the pound is likely sometime within the next five years.
Become a client to read more
This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.
Already have an account?
You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.
Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it
Register for free
Sign up for a free account to:
- Unlock additional content
- Register for Capital Economics events
- Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
- Request a free trial of our services