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Brazilian interest rates to continue falling sharply

The statement accompanying the Brazilian central bank’s decision to cut the Selic interest rate by 75bp to 12.25% maintained an explicit easing bias but gave little away in terms of the future pace of rate reductions. For our part, we suspect that the policy rate will continue to be cut in steps of 75bp over the next few meetings – larger cuts would require more progress on fiscal and supply-side reforms.

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