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Argentina: equity outperformance unlikely to be sustained

The recent rally in Argentine equities stands in stark contrast to a falling foreign currency bond market this year. A weak bond market performance is largely explained by a US court case which has raised fears of a fresh sovereign default. But we also suspect that the local factors that have boosted equities so far in 2013 will fade, causing the MERVAL’s recent period of outperformance to be short-lived.

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