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ARS adjustment inevitable, Bolivia’s election

Pressure is mounting on Argentina’s central bank as it attempts to manage the peso with rapidly diminishing FX reserves. While policymakers have poured cold water on growing speculation of a currency devaluation, we think that they will eventually cave in – as Cristina Kirchner’s government did in early 2014. Elsewhere, Bolivians will head to the polls this weekend to elect a new president but, whatever the outcome, the new leader will face an uphill battle to manage the country’s public debt and balance of payments risks.

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