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Brazil IPCA-15 (Aug. 2020)

The further rise in Brazilian inflation, to 2.3% y/y in the first half August, was relatively modest and we expect the headline rate to remain well below the central bank’s 2020 target of 4% over the coming quarters. That said, recent political noise and renewed jitters about the fiscal position have raised the bar for additional interest rate cuts in the coming months.

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