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Brazil GDP (Q1 2021)

The 1.2% q/q expansion in Brazil’s GDP suggests that the economy held up well during the country’s second virus wave and more timely figures point to a rapid recovery from the more recent third wave. These figures will keep the central bank on track to hike the Selic rate by a further 75bp (to 4.25%) when it meets in June and it looks increasingly likely that it will flag another 75bp hike in August too.

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