The sharp fall in Brazilian inflation in March, to 9.4% y/y from 10.4% y/y in February, could prompt COPOM to take a less hawkish stance. But with inflation still likely to remain well above target this year, and the real vulnerable to renewed weakness, we’re comfortable with our forecast for interest rate cuts to be delayed until Q4. Meanwhile, the decline in Chilean inflation last month adds to the evidence that interest rate hikes over the coming quarters are unlikely.
Become a client to read more
This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.
Already have an account?
You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.
Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it
Register for free
Sign up for a free account to:
- Unlock additional content
- Register for Capital Economics events
- Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
- Request a free trial of our services