The number of new daily coronavirus cases in the region has continued to rise, with only Chile among the major economies appearing to get its outbreak under control. Restrictions have been lifted much more slowly in the region than elsewhere in the emerging world, and activity has been slower to recover as a result. The possibility of strict localised containment measures – as happened recently in cities such as Santiago, Buenos Aires and Bogota – will continue to cloud the outlook. And, in any case, there will be a long-lasting drag from citizens’ precautionary behaviour. As a result, the recovery in Latin America as a whole will probably be the weakest of any region in the world.
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