Skip to main content

Dollar strength unlikely to alter outlooks for monetary policy

Being long of the dollar is reportedly one of the most crowded trades in the market. However, we stillthink that the US currency has further to climb against other majors. Indeed, we now expect the euro tofall below parity no later than the middle of next year. We also continue to forecast the yen to weakenas far as 140 versus the dollar by the end of 2016. Nonetheless, we do not expect additional dollarstrength to deter the Fed from raising US interest rates aggressively, or additional euro and yenweakness to eliminate the need for the ECB and Bank of Japan to loosen policy a lot further.

Become a client to read more

This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.

Already have an account?

You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.

Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it

Register for free

Sign up for a free account to:

  • Unlock additional content
  • Register for Capital Economics events
  • Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
  • Request a free trial of our services


Get access