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Did the US stock market send a false signal again?

The US stock market has made significant gains since hitting a trough on the 11th February. We expect it to make more headway as the news from China improves, and do not think that its prior slide heralds an economic downturn. Admittedly, US recessions have typically coincided with corrections in equity prices. But corrections in equity prices have not always coincided with recessions.

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