There is no longer any doubt that the coronavirus outbreak will hurt China’s economy in Q1. While the impact should be short-lived and subsequently reversed, the public and official responses to the outbreak add downside risks to incoming activity and spending data for the next couple of months at least. There may be some early signs in the official PMIs, which are due on Friday next week. China’s Lunar New Year holiday has now begun which will make both controlling the virus and assessing its impact harder.
Become a client to read more
This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.
Already have an account?
You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.
Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it
Register for free
Sign up for a free account to:
- Unlock additional content
- Register for Capital Economics events
- Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
- Request a free trial of our services