Asia Economics Update Interest rates to stay low in Korea The Bank of Korea (BoK) today left interest rates unchanged and there was little sign in the central bank’s statement that the central bank is in any rush to adjust policy. With the economy growing at... 31st August 2017 · 1 min read
China Data Response Official PMIs (Aug.) The latest official PMI readings suggest that China’s manufacturing activity may have strengthened in August but point to weaker momentum in the rest of the economy. 31st August 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Industrial Production (Jul.) The renewed fall in industrial production and the slump in capital goods shipments in July suggest that growth slowed in the third quarter. 31st August 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Retail Sales (Jul.) Despite the continued fall in “core” household spending, the jump in retail sales in July suggests that consumer spending continued to expand at a strong pace in Q3. 30th August 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Unemployment & Household Spending (Jul.) We wouldn’t read too much into July’s slowdown in household spending as the data tend to understate private consumption. Meanwhile, strong job growth is lifting household incomes and providing a... 29th August 2017 · 1 min read
China Activity Monitor Growth jumps in July In contrast to the weaker official activity data for July, our China Activity Proxy (CAP) suggests that growth in China picked up last month to the fastest pace in nearly four years. However, as... 28th August 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Weekly Efforts to reform labour market fall short Japan’s government is worried that a sharp increase in the number of part-time workers will feed into weaker growth in productivity in future and it has proposed a package of labour reforms in... 25th August 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Consumer Prices (Jul.) A rebound in energy inflation helped to lift headline inflation to fresh highs in July. But with the peak in energy inflation nearing and underlying price pressures still subdued, we expect inflation... 25th August 2017 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack Bouncing back It looks as though both Australia and New Zealand shook off the weakness at the start of the year as GDP growth may have bounced back in the second quarter. We estimate that the disappointing 0.3% q/q... 23rd August 2017 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Will the strength of the rupee be sustained? Strong inflows into India’s equity and bond markets have been a key reason behind the strengthening of the rupee against the US dollar in recent months. But there are reasons to think that these... 23rd August 2017 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Rise in bond yields has further to run The rise in Indian bond yields over the past couple of weeks reverses only a small portion of the drop since the start of 2017. But looking ahead, with the RBI ramping up its open market sales and... 21st August 2017 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Capital Flows Monitor (Jul.) Net capital outflows from China edged up in July, but this was due to seasonal factors. Adjusting for these, outflows actually eased last month to a five-month low, helped by more rapid foreign... 21st August 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Thailand GDP (Q2) Figures released today show Thailand’s economy continued to gain momentum in Q2, and is now growing at its fastest pace in y/y terms since Q1 2013. We expect growth to remain relatively strong over... 21st August 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Philippines GDP (Q2) The Philippines recorded another quarter of solid growth in Q2 and should continue to perform well over the near term, supported by rapid government spending growth and healthy private consumption. 17th August 2017 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Reserve Bank’s MPC minutes show inflation concerns The minutes of the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) August policy meeting show that, despite voting to cut interest rates, most members remain cautious about the outlook for inflation. Indeed, with... 17th August 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response External trade (Jul.) The recent acceleration in export values reflects a surge in export prices rather than stronger volumes. Nonetheless, export volumes will probably outpace import volumes this year so net exports will... 17th August 2017 · 1 min read