Commodities Weekly OPEC+ to stand pat, for now OPEC+ is set to meet next Tuesday, when we expect the group to agree to continue with its incremental increases in production through to July. We think it unlikely that the group will address the... 28th May 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Update Agricultural prices have further to fall We think that the prices of wheat, corn and soybeans will decline over the next six months owing to a rebound in global supply and slower demand growth in China. 27th May 2021 · 3 mins read
Energy Update Strong demand to keep the Pacific coal price high The price of Pacific coal has surged to just over $100 per tonne for the first time since 2019. We think that the price will remain elevated for the rest of this year in large part owing to strong... 25th May 2021 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly Signs that price rallies are beginning to falter The prices of most commodities dropped back again this week as global equity markets struggled to make ground and virus cases in parts of Asia continued to rise. Meanwhile, reports emerged that good... 21st May 2021 · 5 mins read
Commodities Update Oil to disregard US dollar strength The recent depreciation in the US dollar has helped to boost commodity prices. But while we expect a stronger dollar to weigh on most commodity prices later this year, we think that oil prices will... 20th May 2021 · 2 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US commercial crude stocks increased last week as inventories continue to be drawn down from the US government’s strategic reserves. We expect commercial crude stocks to rise further next week as... 19th May 2021 · 2 mins read
Energy Update Deal or no deal, Iran’s oil output set to rise this year A revival of the nuclear deal with Iran would pave the way for sanctions to be lifted, boosting the country’s oil production and weighing on prices. By contrast, while we still expect Iranian output... 17th May 2021 · 3 mins read
Commodities Watch How the American Jobs Plan could affect commodities In this Commodities Watch, we take a first look at some of the most important features of President Joe Biden’s $2 trillion infrastructure package, known as the American Jobs Plan, from a commodities... 14th May 2021 · 11 mins read
Commodities Weekly The price rally may be starting to run out of steam Aside from coal and natural gas, the prices of most commodities fell this week in tandem with the declines in global equity markets. Investors are concerned about rising inflation, particularly in the... 14th May 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Update China’s FYP points to lower global agricultural prices There are three overarching themes present in the agriculture document associated with China’s 14th Five-Year Plan – improving food security, continuing with the modernisation of the rural economy and... 13th May 2021 · 4 mins read
Commodities Weekly Rally in metals prices looking increasingly stretched Commodity prices pushed higher yet again this week. Most notably, the seemingly unassailable climb in industrial metals prices saw the price of copper push above $10,000 per tonne for the first time... 7th May 2021 · 6 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US crude stocks plummeted last week primarily because net imports nosedived to a record low. While net imports will probably recover in the coming weeks as exports ease back, we think that crude... 5th May 2021 · 2 mins read
Energy Outlook A recovery in demand to support prices The rebound in global economic activity this year will lead to a strong pick-up in demand for energy commodities. Arguably, this has already happened in the gas and coal markets as industrial activity... 4th May 2021 · 19 mins read
Commodities Weekly The demand outlook remains uncertain It was another good week for commodity prices, with the exception of precious metals. Somewhat better-than-expected Q1 GDP and survey data, particularly in the euro-zone, was one factor fuelling... 30th April 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Outlook Investor-led rally running out of road Following a spectacular rebound from pandemic-induced lows, we continue to expect that most commodity prices will be falling again by end-2021. Although growth in demand should be strong as the global... 27th April 2021 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Rising risks to supply of agriculturals Most commodity prices increased this week, with the prices of agricultural commodities rising particularly strongly. The prices of corn, soybeans and wheat surged, reaching new multi-year highs on the... 23rd April 2021 · 6 mins read
