Europe Economic Outlook ECB to keep pushing on a string We expect economic growth to remain sluggish this year as external demand picks up only slowly and domestic demand softens. Employment growth is slowing, which will cause household incomes and... 21st January 2020 · 30 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Still value in shopping for logistics in the Netherlands The Dutch retail sector is grappling with changing consumer habits and will struggle to provide a positive return to investors. But, with online sales set to grow rapidly and supply chains still... 11th November 2019 · 3 mins read
Europe Economics Update Eight quick points about the European elections Projections of the results of the European elections confirm that pro-European parties will continue to have a clear majority in the European Parliament (EP) itself, so little will change at EU level... 27th May 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Rotterdam offices top the league With prime rents in Rotterdam expected to grow by 7.5% in the next three years, we expect strong investor demand for the city to drive some of the largest office sector yield falls in Europe. This... 18th April 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Dutch current account surplus to remain high In our view, the Netherlands’ huge current account surplus, at around 10% of GDP last year, is unlikely to fall much anytime soon. Household saving will stay high, the government budget will remain in... 1st February 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Economic Outlook Missing the global tightening cycle The euro-zone should regain some momentum in the coming months, at least compared to its dire performance at the end of last year. But we think the economy will expand by just 1% in 2019 as a whole... 18th January 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update What to expect from elections in Europe this year In a busy election calendar this year, the focus will be on the rise of populist and euro-sceptic parties. Elections for the European Parliament in May are the most high profile event, but there will... 17th January 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Dutch housing boom near its peak The housing boom that has been one of the prime drivers of Dutch economic growth in recent years is likely to be close to its peak. As a result, growth is likely to slow in the coming years. But we do... 28th November 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Economic Outlook Modest slowdown masks large divergences Prospects for Europe have deteriorated somewhat as slowing global demand has begun to affect exports and a sharp rise in bond yields has darkened the outlook for Italy. Some of the major players... 17th October 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Prospects for Dutch retail rents revised lower Changing shopping patterns and pockets of new supply in both Amsterdam and Rotterdam have meant that Dutch high street rents have not performed as well as might be expected given the strong consumer... 26th September 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German & Dutch GDP (Q2) The stronger-than-expected expansions in Germany and the Netherlands in Q2 provide some hope that the euro-zone economy may have grown more strongly in Q2 than initially estimated. This should... 14th August 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Rotterdam offices rising up the charts A lack of available space and high rental levels in Amsterdam are boosting office demand in Rotterdam. Investment demand has already increased, but is set to stay strong in the next couple of years... 2nd August 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German & Dutch GDP (Q1) The sharper-than-expected slowdowns in both German and Dutch GDP in Q1 suggest that there is a risk that euro-zone GDP will be revised down from the first estimate of 0.4% q/q. But with Q1’s weakness... 15th May 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are Amsterdam office rents getting too high? As the balance of supply and demand in Amsterdam offices shifts yet further in favour of landlords, we expect the vacancy rate to fall to around 4.5% and prime rents to climb to €450/sqm/yr by the end... 19th April 2018 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update The outlook for bonds in Switzerland and the Nordics The Nordic central banks are all moving towards tightening monetary policy, albeit at different speeds. We think that higher interest rates will come first in Sweden, pushing up government bond yields... 20th March 2018 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Will Nordic and Swiss equities continue to struggle? After a tough start to 2018, we think that equities in the Nordic countries and Switzerland will continue to struggle over the next couple of years. But their performance will be far from uniform. 7th March 2018 · 1 min read
