Filtered by Subscriptions: UK Housing Use setting UK Housing
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. House prices continue to lose momentum The stagnation in Nationwide house prices in March suggests any boost from buyers rushing to complete home purchases ahead of the rise in …
1st April 2025
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Tentative signs households may be starting to spend a bit more freely February’s money and lending figures provide some green shoots of households starting to save less and spend …
31st March 2025
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. House prices may be starting to lose some momentum The small 0.1% m/m fall in Halifax house prices in February is at odds with the 0.4% m/m rise in the Nationwide measure and …
7th March 2025
Higher costs drive construction activity to post-pandemic low The headline CIPS construction PMI dropped to 44.6 in February, from 48.1 in January, which was the lowest reading since May 2020. Part of the decline was due to a sharp fall in the volatile …
6th March 2025
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Households still in the mood to save rather than spend The stagnating economy is partly because households appear to be continuing to save rather than spend, which is unlikely to …
3rd March 2025
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Housing market maintaining momentum as the wider economy is losing it Some of the bigger-than-expected 0.4% m/m rise in Nationwide house prices in February (consensus and Capital …
28th February 2025
The decision by the US and Russia to “lay the groundwork” to end the war in Ukraine marks a potentially significant turning point after three years of conflict. Negotiations will take time and the macroeconomic implications will depend on the features of …
18th February 2025
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Housing market continues to shrug off sluggish economy The 0.7% m/m rise in the Halifax house price index in January is at odds with the muted 0.1% m/m increase in the Nationwide …
7th February 2025
Rise in interest rates puts a dampener on construction activity The headline CIPS construction PMI dropped to 48.1 in January, from 53.3 in December, indicating the first contraction in activity since February 2024. The decline in the headline balance …
6th February 2025
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Higher mortgage rates starting to weigh on prices, but it won’t last Although the muted 0.1% m/m rise in Nationwide house prices in January was slightly worse than expected …
31st January 2025
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Downbeat outlook isn’t heavily weighing on households’ financial decisions December’s money and lending figures suggest the downbeat economic outlook isn’t weighing on households …
30th January 2025
Construction activity continues to expand despite drag from housing The headline CIPS construction PMI eased to a six-month low of 53.3 in December, from 55.2 in November, although that indicates construction activity is still expanding. The decline in …
7th January 2025
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. House prices may be losing a bit of momentum going into 2025 The small fall in the Halifax house price index in December is at odds with the chunky rise in the Nationwide measure …
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Downbeat sentiment continues to weigh on households’ financial decisions November’s money and lending data suggests that households’ caution with their borrowing and saving ahead …
3rd January 2025
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Strong end to 2024 and outlook for 2025 better than most expect December’s better-than-expected 0.7% m/m increase in Nationwide house prices means that prices continued to gather …
2nd January 2025
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Post-Budget relief rally more than offsets higher mortgage rates The leap in Halifax house prices in November mirrors the jump in the Nationwide measure and suggests that some …
6th December 2024
Jump in commercial activity supports a rise in the headline balance The headline CIPS construction PMI increased to 55.2 in November, from 54.3 in October, indicating an expansion of construction activity. The rise was entirely driven by the commercial …
5th December 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Shrugging off higher mortgage rates November’s surprisingly large rise in the Nationwide house price index suggests the housing market is picking up momentum despite recent rises …
2nd December 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Pre-Budget jitters clearly influenced households’ financial decisions October’s money and lending figures suggest that Budget worries prompted households to become more cautious …
29th November 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. House prices rise to record high and will accelerate next year October’s 0.2% m/m rise in Halifax house prices suggests that the recent momentum in house prices has a bit further …
7th November 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Mortgage rates will still fall next year and support house prices October’s 0.1% m/m rise in Nationwide house prices was a bit weaker than expected (consensus forecast +0.3% m/m, …
1st November 2024
Our more detailed and update analysis can be seen here . Despite large rise in taxes, Budget still boosts economy As the Budget loosens fiscal policy relative to previous plans, it is consistent with GDP growth perhaps being a bit stronger and interest …
30th October 2024
Budget has yet to affect households’ financial decisions Although consumer confidence has fallen ahead of the Budget, there is little evidence in September’s money and lending figures that Budget worries are having a big influence on households’ financial …
29th October 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Confirmation house prices rebounded in Q3 The third consecutive monthly rise in the Halifax house price index in September provides further evidence that the falls in mortgage …
7th October 2024
Construction activity rebounds to 2½ year high The headline CIPS construction PMI rebounded to a 2½ year high of 57.2 in September as the prospect of lower interest rates, rising capital values and a government committed to boosting home construction …
4th October 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Fading drag on credit from higher interest rates is supporting the economy August’s money and lending data provide further evidence that the gradual improvement in credit demand …
30th September 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. House prices rise in Q3 and will rise further next year September’s 0.7% m/m rise in Nationwide house prices suggests that August’s 0.2% m/m fall was just a blip and that the …
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Modest housing market recovery continues The second consecutive monthly rise in the Halifax house price index in August supports our view that the fall in the Nationwide house …
6th September 2024
Construction activity continues to expand The headline CIPS construction PMI edged back in August, but at 53.6 it remained in expansionary territory for the sixth consecutive month. Moreover, the decline was driven by the volatile civil engineering …
5th September 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Steady improvement in credit is supporting the economy July’s money and lending data provide further evidence that a steady improvement in the flow and demand of credit is …
30th August 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Lower mortgage rates may soon help house prices regain momentum Despite the recent declines in mortgage rates, the small fall in the Nationwide house price index in August …
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Falling mortgage rates boost house prices After three months of stagnation, the bigger-than-expected rise in the Halifax house price index in July provides further evidence that …
7th August 2024
Construction activity rebounds, helped by housing The headline CIPS construction PMI rebounded in July, more than reversing the small fall in June to reach 55.3, the highest reading since May 2022. That rise was driven by the housing component, with the …
6th August 2024
Mortgage rate reductions could help prices gain more momentum The third consecutive small monthly rise in house prices in July was a bit stronger than we had anticipated and suggests house prices are shrugging off the slight rise in mortgage rates in the …
1st August 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. More evidence the drag on activity from higher interest rates is starting to fade June’s money and lending data provided a bit more evidence that the drag from higher activity is …
29th July 2024
House prices slip back in Q2 As the first economic data release under a Labour government since 2010, the decline in Halifax house prices in June meant that Labour’s tenure got off to a slightly downbeat start. However, while we expect house prices to …
5th July 2024
The headline CIPS construction PMI edged back in June from its two-year high last month, but at 52.2 remains in expansionary territory. Both the commercial and housing balances retreated, with the latter falling back below 50, indicating some contraction …
4th July 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Further evidence the drag on activity from higher interest rates is fading May’s money and lending data provided a bit further evidence that the drag from higher activity is …
1st July 2024
House prices flat in Q2 Although house prices rose slightly in June, an earlier dip means they were flat on the quarter in Q2. With signs mortgage rates are causing demand to falter and that supply is improving, we think that house prices will flatline at …
Confirmation house prices are stagnant The slight decline in the Halifax house price index in May confirmed that the increase in mortgage rates since the start of the year has caused house prices to stall. Mortgage rates have continued to edge up, so …
7th June 2024
Construction activity picks up in both housing and commercial sectors The headline CIPS construction PMI rose to a two-year high of 54.7 in May. Both the commercial and housing balances improved, with the latter rising above 50 for the first time since …
6th June 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Drag on activity from high interest rates continues to fade While April’s money and lending figures suggest the recent rebound in the housing market is cooling and households …
31st May 2024
Persistently high mortgage rates cause prices to stagnate Despite a small increase in the Nationwide house price index in May, the big picture is that the slight rise in mortgage rates since the start of the year has caused house prices to stagnate. The …
Commercial activity rebounds, but housing still subdued The headline CIPS construction PMI rose for the fifth consecutive month to 53.0 in April, a 14-month high. The rise was driven by improvements to the commercial and civil engineering components, …
7th May 2024
Higher mortgage rates continue to hit prices The second consecutive decline in the Nationwide house price index in April confirms that the rise in mortgage rates since the start of the year will prevent further near-term price gains. But as we think Bank …
1st May 2024
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Further evidence the drag on activity from high interest rates is fading March’s money and credit figures provide further evidence that the drag from high interest rates is …
30th April 2024
Construction PMIs edge closer to expansionary territory The headline CIPS construction PMI rose to 50.2 in February, the first time it has risen above the no change level since August last year. The rise was driven by small improvements across the …
5th April 2024
Rebound in mortgage rates causes prices to stall The first decline in the Halifax House price Index in six months confirmed that the slight rise in mortgage rates since the start of the year has caused house prices to stall. The 1.0% m/m fall in the …
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Drag on activity from high interest rates continues to fade February’s money and credit figures show the dip in mortgage rates at the start of the year boosted mortgage approvals …
2nd April 2024
Rising mortgage rates cause house prices to stall The 0.2% m/m fall in the Nationwide house price index in March (consensus: +0.3%, CE: +0.2%) suggested that the rise in mortgage rates since the turn of the year has caused house prices to stall. That …
