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The decision by the US and Russia to “lay the groundwork” to end the war in Ukraine marks a potentially significant turning point after three years of conflict. Negotiations will take time and the macroeconomic implications will depend on the features of …
18th February 2025
The news from Davos that President Trump will “ask Saudi Arabia and Opec to bring down the cost of oil” is certainly in keeping with his desire for lower gasoline prices and his clear intention to use energy as leverage over Russia to end the war in …
23rd January 2025
OPEC+ keep screws tight for another quarter The agreement by OPEC+ to rollover voluntary production cuts for another quarter will, in our view, push the crude oil market into a sizeable deficit in Q3. Oil supply will be more constrained than we had …
3rd June 2024
Today, OPEC+ announced 1mn barrels per day (bpd) of voluntary cuts to supply in Q1 2024. This comes on top of around 5mn bpd in cuts already in situ, and brings the total cut in the first quarter to around 6% of global production. The group is presumably …
30th November 2023
Yesterday, OPEC+ members announced voluntary cuts to production from May until the end of the year. In total, the cuts amount to 1.16m bpd or about 1.1% of global supply, with Saudi Arabia accounting for the lion’s share of 0.5m bpd. At the same time, …
3rd April 2023
Having prepped the market well beforehand, OPEC+ announced a 2mn bpd cut to its production quota from November. Of course, given that the group has been producing significantly below its quota, the decline in physical supply will be much less, though …
5th October 2022
OPEC+ announced a 100,000-barrel per day cut to production in October at its regular monthly meeting today. The cut is not a complete surprise as there have been mutterings for a few weeks, notably from the Saudi energy minister, Abdulaziz bin Salman al …
5th September 2022
