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This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets right not to expect QE3 to be a panacea …
13th July 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Most commodity prices likely to remain under pressure …
12th July 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Trouble still lies ahead for Spain …
11th July 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Policymakers under pressure to calm euro-zone crisis …
10th July 2012
The euro’s slide against the dollar is unlikely to end any time soon. Admittedly, the exchange rate is already at a two year low. But an escalation of the euro-zone crisis and a deep recession should keep the heat on Europe’s single currency. We continue …
9th July 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Treasury yields slide as US payroll growth disappoints …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets unimpressed by central bank easing …
6th July 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … ECB and UK MPC likely to announce further monetary stimulus …
4th July 2012
The Q2 earnings season kicks off in the US next week. The story that is likely to emerge is one of slower profit growth. And looking further ahead, the news is likely to get worse. This is a key reason why we continue to expect the S&P 500 to end this …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Sanguine market response to ISM data looks complacent …
The markets have taken the alarmingly weak US ISM data in their stride, seemingly banking on European policymakers and the US Fed to turn things around quickly. This muted reaction looks complacent to us. … Are the markets right to shrug off the US …
3rd July 2012
The yield on ten year German Bunds rose by around 30bp in June, despite the fact that the yield on ten year US Treasuries barely increased. The rise in the ten year Bund yield may have partly reflected an unwinding of safe haven flows in response to …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Macro-fundamentals point to further falls in commodity prices …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … ECB and UK MPC set to announce further stimulus …
2nd July 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Hopes of progress at EU Summit continue to fade …
29th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … EU Summit set to disappoint …
28th June 2012
Despite the escalation of the crisis in the euro-zone, which has taken a heavy toll on bonds issued by troubled governments within the region, the dollar-denominated sovereign debt of emerging market countries on the fringes of the single currency area …
27th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Equity market turmoil erodes US consumers’ confidence …
26th June 2012
The Australian dollar has rebounded in June despite the ongoing slide in commodity prices. The currency’s recovery has probably been due to a subtle shift in investors’ expectations about the relative prospects for monetary policy in Australia and the US, …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Australian dollar set to weaken again …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Risks still skewed to the downside for oil prices …
25th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Treasury market implications of a prolonged "Operation Twist" …
22nd June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Japan's stock market to remain under pressure …
21st June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Spain on the brink …
20th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets sceptical Greece's election marks a watershed …
19th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets braced for result of Greek election …
18th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Spain’s woes add to pressure on Italy …
15th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Are bunds finally losing their safe haven status? …
14th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … OPEC powerless to prevent further falls in oil prices …
13th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Far too soon to sound the "all clear" …
12th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets braced for a bail-out of Spain …
11th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Support from stimulus hopes likely to be short-lived …
8th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Will Bernanke hint at more QE? …
7th June 2012
We have revised some of our key market forecasts for government bonds, equities, commodities and currencies. The new forecasts are presented in the table at the bottom of this page. The major changes include downward revisions to our forecasts for the …
6th June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Weak US employment growth prompts more speculation of QE3 …
The 10-year US Treasury yield fell by more than 35bp in May, hitting a record low of less than 1.6% as investors sought refuge in high-grade government bonds. The main trigger for the rally was a renewed flare up in the euro-zone crisis after the first …
1st June 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What next for US corporate bonds? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Economic outlook bears down on euro-zone stock markets …
31st May 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … The pain in Spain continues …
30th May 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Banking sector concerns keep the pressure on Spain …
29th May 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US labour market should show continued signs of recovery …
28th May 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Euro has further to fall …
25th May 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets sceptical EU leaders can stop the rot …
24th May 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Gilt yields to stay low despite rising fiscal risks …
23rd May 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Is the US bond market on borrowed time? …
22nd May 2012
The yield on 10-year US Treasuries fleetingly dipped below 1.7% last week – its lowest level on record. We do not expect to witness a major sell-off any time soon – our end-2012 and end-2013 forecasts for the 10-year yield are both 2%. However, we do …
21st May 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Gold starts to shine again …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fears grow over Greek banking system …
18th May 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Light at the end of the tunnel for euro-zone equities? …
17th May 2012
The crisis in the euro-zone has exacted a heavy toll on regional stock markets. The sharp falls in equity prices have driven valuations down to attractive levels in many Member States, both relative to countries outside the single currency area and from a …
16th May 2012
