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This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Pound to rise further against the euro …
4th June 2010
Our forecast that the euro will fall to parity with the dollar next year, combined with a smaller decline in the pound from $1.47 to around $1.40, would mean a further rise in the euro-sterling exchange rate from €1.20 to around €1.40. Given the UK’s …
3rd June 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets overly worried about China, complacent on Japan …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Asian policy-makers should focus on inflation not on Europe …
2nd June 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US payrolls should have surged in May on census hiring …
1st June 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Tougher times ahead for US corporates …
28th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US profit growth should continue to slow …
27th May 2010
While the dividend yield of the FTSE 100 recently rose above the yield on 10-year UK gilts for the first time since last autumn (see Chart 1), we would be wary of reading too much into this particular comparison. We do think UK equities are attractive by …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Global growth to disappoint in 2011 …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Will Treasury yields fall even further? …
26th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What next for dollar-denominated emerging market bonds? …
25th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Will the rally in US Treasuries run out of steam? …
We expect S&P 500 operating earnings per share (EPS) to increase by nearly 15% this year. While encouraging, such an outcome would come as a disappointment to many investors. According to Bloomberg, the current consensus estimate for operating earnings …
24th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What should we make of tension in the money markets? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Liquidity is important, but it is not the be all and end all …
21st May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Commodity prices have further to fall …
The sharp falls in many commodity prices over the past month reflect a mix of pressures and worries, some of which are temporary but most of which are not. We continue to expect further falls by the end of the year, including a decline in oil prices to …
20th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Do Europe’s troubles change the outlook for the renminbi? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … The outlook for US equities remains challenging …
19th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Dollar to reach parity against the euro by mid-2011 …
18th May 2010
We have revised up our GDP forecasts for the US and Japan. (See our latest US Economic Outlook and Japan Economics Weekly.) At the same time, we have reviewed our projections for currency, bond, equity and commodity markets. The new market numbers are …
17th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US consumer recovery unlikely to set the world alight …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Regardless of QE, euro has further to fall …
14th May 2010
The experience in both Japan and the US shows that the adoption of quantitative easing by the ECB would not necessarily do lasting harm to the euro. But we still expect the currency to fall a lot further. … Would QE be so bad for the …
13th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Gold could soon lose its shine …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Japan still a crisis in waiting …
12th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … A stronger economy need not mean a stronger stock market …
Gold prices have risen further than we had anticipated, but we still expect them to end the year much lower. Persistent fears over public debt and the health of the financial system in the major economies should be an ideal scenario for a safe haven asset …
11th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … European rescue package takes the heat off sterling assets …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Will the money markets stay calm amid the crisis? …
10th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Bunds should benefit from monetary anti-freeze …
7th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Slower productivity growth could eat into US corporate profits …
The crisis in Greece cast a shadow over equity markets in April to the benefit of US Treasuries and gold. The recovery in the major developed economies is likely to peter out before too long. This should continue to curb investors’ enthusiasm for risk …
6th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Sterling markets should not take fright from a hung parliament …
We are not convinced that a hung parliament in the UK would now be such bad news for all sterling assets. Whatever the outcome of tomorrow’s general election, we think 10-year gilt yields will drop to around 3% by the end of the year. We also expect the …
5th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Greece still needs to make a Herculean effort …
The rally in many risky asset markets is mature and valuations are no longer attractive from a historical perspective. The recovery in the major developed economies is also likely to peter out soon. This should curb investors’ enthusiasm for risk even if …
4th May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … All eyes on Greece …
3rd May 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US GDP growth set to slow later this year …
30th April 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Contagion risks from Greece high and growing …
29th April 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US FOMC should reiterate “extended period” pledge on rates …
28th April 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Greece's troubles keep the euro under pressure …
27th April 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US Q1 GDP should show weaker, but better balanced, growth …
26th April 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Any boost to US home sales is unlikely to last long …
22nd April 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … How big a threat is volcanic activity to Europe’s economy? …
21st April 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … How much tighter can US corporate bond spreads get? …
20th April 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Is China overheating? …
16th April 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Deflated expectations …
15th April 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US profit margins could shrink …
14th April 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Margins look stretched …
13th April 2010