Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s claim that the ‘true’ unemployment rate is still close to 10% only makes sense if the four million workers who left the labour force last year will return. It’s still too soon to tell for sure, but the evidence so far suggests that may prove to be overly optimistic.
WEBINAR INVITE: To mark the upcoming launch of The Long Run, our dedicated long-term service, we’re holding a special webinar on 11th February to discuss how we see economies and markets performing out to 2050. Complimentary registration here for either of two sessions.
Become a client to read more
This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.
Already have an account?
You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.
Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it
Register for free
Sign up for a free account to gain:
- Unlock additional content
- Register for Capital Economics events
- Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
- Request a free trial of our services