UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Jan.) Net lending to property fell back in January, after reaching its highest level in 18 months in December. But overall net lending remained in positive territory, though we expect a number of challenges... 1st March 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response IPF Consensus Forecasts (Feb.) The latest IPF Consensus Survey suggests that commercial property will have a better year than initially thought. Our total returns forecast for 2022 is in line with that of consensus, but beyond this... 25th February 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI (Jan.) In contrast to the decline at the end of last year, the construction PMI rose to its highest level in six months in January. There were also encouraging signs that supply and cost issues have started... 4th February 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response RICS Construction Market Survey (Q4) The latest RICS survey indicated that activity in Q4 and the outlook for the short term were broadly unchanged. The survey also suggested that labour and material shortages will continue to hurt... 3rd February 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Dec.) A marked jump in lending to standing property resulted in total net lending reaching its highest level in just over 18 months in December. Although this is encouraging, several challenges remain... 1st February 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response RICS Commercial Property Market Survey (Q4) The spread of the Omicron variant took some of the steam out of the property recovery in Q4 2021, but the latest RICS results are consistent with further growth in 2022. They also highlight continued... 27th January 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Credit Conditions Survey (Q4 2021) The Q4 credit conditions survey suggests that, while credit conditions will remain loose, scope for lenders to absorb further increases in interest rates into their margins has run out. Drop-In: Neil... 13th January 2022 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI (Dec.) The construction PMI declined last month to end the year on a negative note, more than erasing the gain made in November. Despite tentative signs that they are starting to ease, we expect labour and... 7th January 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Nov.) Declines in lending for both standing property and new developments resulted in total net lending moving back into negative territory in November. The outlook is for credit conditions to remain tight... 4th January 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI (Nov.) The construction PMI rose for a second-consecutive month in October, to its highest level since July. However, we expect continued labour and supply shortages to hamper output in the near term. 6th December 2021 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Oct.) A drop in repayments and rise in development activity resulted in positive net lending in October for the first time since March. Despite this turnaround, credit conditions will remain tight and... 29th November 2021 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response IPF Consensus Forecasts (Nov.) The resilience of the commercial property market has led to further upgrades to the IPF Consensus view for this year, albeit still below our forecast. Beyond this year, we are more downbeat about the... 26th November 2021 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response RICS Construction Market Survey (Q3) The latest RICS survey indicated that construction activity remained robust in Q3, while the outlook for the near term is favourable. Although we agree, we expect that building material and labour... 4th November 2021 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI (Oct.) Construction firms reported that activity strengthened in October despite higher costs and continued difficulty sourcing materials. The big picture is that until those constraints ease construction... 4th November 2021 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Sep.) Net lending to UK commercial property was negative for the fourth month in a row in September, probably due to a rise in repayments. We expect further repayments, caution when seeking development... 29th October 2021 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response RICS Commercial Property Market Survey (Q3) Surveyors reported a continued improvement in occupier demand and investment enquiries in Q3, and notably the net balance for offices turned positive on both measures. That said, surveyors expect... 28th October 2021 · 2 mins read