Skip to main content

Sharp divergence in new and existing home sales

A fall in existing home sales in January, to a three year low, suggests that the housing market slowdown that began in 2018 continued into 2019. Indeed, even after a decline in mortgage interest rates, mortgage applications for home purchase dropped back in February. But, helped by a healthier inventory of homes on the market, new home sales rose for the second month in a row in December. That rise in sales has given a boost to homebuilder confidence, and single-family housing starts surged in January. Multifamily starts also increased, supported by low rental vacancy rates. The economic slowdown will weigh on housing market activity over the next couple of years, and both house price and rental growth are set to slow gradually.

Become a client to read more

This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.

Already have an account?

You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.

Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it

Register for free

Sign up for a free account to:

  • Unlock additional content
  • Register for Capital Economics events
  • Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
  • Request a free trial of our services


Get access