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Commercial property total returns set to halve in 2007 (Q1 07)

Our forecasts are only marginally changed from the previous edition of the Commercial Property Analyst. Despite a slight moderation this year, we expect solid GDP growth over the medium term. Although the repo rate is likely to rise at least once more in 2007, lower inflation and firming expectations of rate cuts in 2008 will keep bond yields low. Accordingly, we continue to forecast a soft landing for the commercial property market.

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