The UK’s decision to leave the EU has weakened the economic outlook for the euro-zone and increased expectations that the ECB will keep monetary policy looser for longer. While slower economic growth is negative for the property rental outlook, the slowdown will not send rental growth into reverse. At the same time, with property offering attractive returns relative to other fixed income assets, we think investors will continue to bid yields lower still. Indeed, we expect lower yields to make a positive contribution to capital value growth to 2019, before becoming a headwind in 2020.
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