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IPF Consensus Forecasts (Q4)

Respondents to the IPF Consensus Forecasts no longer expect all-property capital values to hold up next year and have pencilled in renewed falls of about 2%, driven solely by higher yields. Reflecting our strong concerns about the real economy, however, we think that rents will also fall and add to the downward pressure on prices. Accordingly, our expectation is a 5% to 6% decline in capital values.

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