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Two positives for Golden Week

Much of our recent coverage of the Japanese economy has been distinctly gloomy, summed up in our forecast that GDP will fall outright this year. This view has been supported by the recent activity data. Nonetheless, with the holiday spirit in mind, it is also worth acknowledging two positives: asset prices have held up pretty well in the wake of the Great East Japan Earthquake, while inflation has failed to spike higher as some had feared.

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