Skip to main content

How reliable are Japan’s preliminary GDP estimates?

The two preliminary estimates of GDP are among the most widely followed indicators of Japan’s economy. The good news is that neither of these early estimates displays major biases relative to the final outcome, and the magnitude of revisions to the individual components largely reflects their underlying volatility. However, the second estimate typically adds little to the accuracy of the first, and the largest adjustments often occur only much later.

Become a client to read more

This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.

Already have an account?

You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.

Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it

Register for free

Sign up for a free account to:

  • Unlock additional content
  • Register for Capital Economics events
  • Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
  • Request a free trial of our services


Get access