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Latest European Economics insights

Europe Economics Focus

French public debt: trouble brewing

Developments over the past year have put France’s public debt on a steeper upward path, with the debt ratio now likely to rise from 113% of GDP last year to around 126% by 2030. We see little chance...

21st January 2025 14 mins read

Europe Rapid Response

Euro-zone Retail Sales (Nov. 24)

The 0.1% m/m increase in euro-zone retail sales in November was a little worse than expected and follows a fall in sales of 0.3% in October. This suggests that aggregate retail sales may have declined...

9th January 2025 2 mins read

Europe Economics Update

A primer on the Alternative für Deutschland

The Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) has attracted attention recently because of its strong opinion poll ratings and endorsement by Elon Musk. The party has no plausible route to power after February...

3rd January 2025 5 mins read

Europe Economic Outlook

Low growth, low inflation, low rates

We expect economic growth in the euro-zone to remain sluggish. This is partly due to adverse demographics and structural forces hampering the competitiveness of industry. But past monetary tightening...

16th December 2024 28 mins read

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