Asia Economics Update China’s commodity imports slow Despite further evidence of economic strength, China’s monthly data for October suggested that commodity stockpiling is waning. Lending growth declined more than expected, but credit policy is set to... 11th November 2009 · 1 min read
China Economics Update People’s Bank signals sharp growth slowdown in China The latest PMI data support our view that growth in China remains strong. However, the People’s Bank appears to disagree, with potentially major implications for the policy outlook. 2nd November 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update People’s Bank signals sharp growth slowdown in China The latest PMI data support our view that growth in China remains strong. However, the People’s Bank appears to disagree, with potentially major implications for the policy outlook. 2nd November 2009 · 1 min read
China Economics Update China’s growth peaks Our China Activity Proxy (CAP) suggests that seasonally-adjusted, q/q growth in China’s economy has peaked, but growth is expected to remain strong for some time. 27th October 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update China’s growth peaks Our China Activity Proxy (CAP) suggests that seasonally-adjusted, q/q growth in China’s economy has peaked, but growth is expected to remain strong for some time. 27th October 2009 · 1 min read
China Chart Pack China returned to rapid growth in Q3 (Oct 09) Nearly a year after exports collapsed, China’s economy is once again expanding at a frenetic pace. There are medium term risks in the form of industrial overcapacity, weaker banks and the threat that... 23rd October 2009 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Asset bubbles to be China’s biggest concern in year ahead China’s loan-fuelled stimulus has returned the economy to rapid growth. The key challenge now is sustaining the rebound without inflating asset price bubbles. 22nd October 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack China returned to rapid growth in Q3 (Oct 09) Nearly a year after exports collapsed, China’s economy is once again expanding at a frenetic pace. There are medium term risks in the form of industrial overcapacity, weaker banks and the threat that... 22nd October 2009 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Return to gradual renminbi appreciation A shift in rhetoric from China’s government suggests that a change in monetary and currency policy may not be far behind. But when it comes, the change will be gradual. In particular, the renminbi... 21st October 2009 · 1 min read
China Economics Update More stimulus from China’s banks and much stronger trade There was no let-up last month in the lending growth that is fuelling China’s stimulus. For now, the Chinese recovery is benefitting the rest of the world through stronger imports. But as commodity... 14th October 2009 · 1 min read
China Economics Update China’s hot money worries set to reappear China’s foreign exchange purchases, and hot inflows into its economy, have steadied. But they are likely to rise in the months ahead, adding to the threat of asset price bubbles next year. 14th October 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update China’s hot money worries set to reappear China’s foreign exchange purchases, and hot inflows into its economy, have steadied. But they are likely to rise in the months ahead, adding to the threat of asset price bubbles next year. 14th October 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update More stimulus from China’s banks and much stronger trade There was no let-up last month in the lending growth that is fuelling China’s stimulus. For now, the Chinese recovery is benefitting the rest of the world through stronger imports. But as commodity... 14th October 2009 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Business conditions continue to improve in China Business conditions in China improved across the board in Q3, but small and privately-owned firms are far less exuberant than their large and state-owned counterparts. 13th October 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Business conditions continue to improve in China Business conditions in China improved across the board in Q3, but small and privately-owned firms are far less exuberant than their large and state-owned counterparts. 13th October 2009 · 1 min read
China Economics Update PMIs add to impression of Asian strength Asia’s PMI releases today add to the weight of evidence that Asia’s recovery has plenty of positive momentum. 1st October 2009 · 1 min read