Q3 2024 China Economic Outlook

Manufacturing boom to shore up growth a while longer

Our latest quarterly China Economic Outlook explores the sustainability of the economic recovery in the face of structural headwinds.

Download the key takeaways from our client report to learn about the most important issues facing China’s outlook, including:

How manufacturing is helping boost China's near-term outlook, and the impact of rising trade barriers against Chinese exports;
How near-term buoyancy will eventually give way as structural headwinds reassert themselves;
Why the upcoming Third Plenum meeting could disappoint hopes for a major reform push.

China’s economy is on course to expand by 5.5% this year, buoyed by policy support and strong exports. But we remain less sanguine about the medium-term outlook.

Julian Evans-Pritchard

Head of China Economics

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About our China economy coverage

Our team of locally based experts is able to rapidly respond to developments whenever they occur. In addition to our standard suite of analytical publications, the China Economics service includes our proprietary China Activity Proxy, a set of indicators designed to more accurately capture China's underlying economic growth trend.