Filtered by Topic: Monetary Policy Use setting Monetary Policy
Note: We’ll be discussing the economic and market risks around the upcoming Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections on at 09:00 EDT/14:00 BST on 10 th May . Register now. Despite a bumper week for economic data, currency markets remain in limbo. …
5th May 2023
Banxico tightening debate set to heat up Data and developments this week suggest that the debate at Banxico over when to end the tightening cycle is set to heat up. The risks are tilting towards rates rising a bit more than we currently expect. …
25th November 2022
Amid the broad-based “risk-on” tone in markets this week, the US dollar has edged down against most major currencies. As was the case last week, an increasingly hawkish tone by the Fed and a rise in 10-year US Treasury yields had little impact on the …
25th March 2022
Even after its broad-based appreciation today, the US dollar seems set to end the week a bit lower against most major currencies. This is somewhat surprising given the FOMC’s hawkish tone on Wednesday and Fed Governor Waller’s comment today that a 50bp …
18th March 2022
Today’s US CPI data produced a relatively limited reaction in the US dollar, which is set to end the week a bit weaker against most major currencies. Attention now turns to the 17(!) central bank meetings next week, including the Fed, ECB, BoE, and BoJ. …
10th December 2021
With a couple of exceptions, currency markets have had a quiet week; the US dollar is ending the week a touch weaker against most other currencies, but in aggregate it remains close to its strongest level for the year. With US bond yields continuing to …
22nd October 2021
The US dollar seems set to end the week lower against most currencies, as “risky” assets have rallied and US Treasury yields have edged down a bit. This fall back in the dollar and US yields is somewhat surprising in light of the stronger-than-expected …
15th October 2021
The US dollar is ending the week higher against most currencies, extending its gains alongside rising US Treasury yields following the stronger-than-expected July payrolls data . With Fed officials earlier this week suggesting that several more months of …
6th August 2021
While the US dollar has fallen back a little against most currencies in the second half of the week as the sharp sell-off in risky assets and currencies on Monday was reversed, it looks set to end the week slightly stronger, continuing its strong run …
23rd July 2021
The US dollar is ending the week stronger against most currencies, although it has fallen back a little this afternoon despite the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls report . While that reaction is perhaps a bit puzzling, the bigger picture is that …
2nd July 2021
The FOMC’s optimistic assessment of the outlook and the significant shift up in its “dot plot” projections has sent the US dollar soaring over the past couple of days. We have brought forward our own forecast for the first Fed hike (see here), and our …
18th June 2021
Although Treasury yields somewhat surprisingly fell after the larger-than-expected rise in inflation last month in the US, the dollar is ending the week slightly stronger against most currencies. Attention next week will focus on the FOMC meeting, and …
11th June 2021