We estimate that non-farm payrolls fell by 100,000 in December, the first decline since April. Employment gains have been slowing in recent months, as restrictions to curb the spread of the resurgent coronavirus have been tightened. The muted 245,000 …
4th January 2021
We expect a further slowdown in the pace of non-farm payroll gains to 400,000 in November, as the recovery in the employment-intensive restaurant and leisure sectors stall. The 638,000 gain in non-farm payrolls last month was the third consecutive month …
25th November 2020
We expect employment growth to have slowed further in October, with non-farm payrolls rising by 600,000 – albeit partly because of another drop-back in temporary employment as operations for the 2020 Census wound down. The softer 661,000 rise in non-farm …
29th October 2020
We estimate that non-farm payrolls rose by a more modest 800,000 in September, as the pace of private sector rehiring slows further and the recent burst of Census hiring goes into reverse . The near-1.4 million rise in non-farm payroll employment last …
24th September 2020
