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This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Will monetary easing boost China's stock market? …
24th November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US Treasuries brush off deficit deadlock …
23rd November 2011
Greece is on the cusp of a sovereign default that could still be either “orderly” or “disorderly”. An orderly default would cause less upheaval in the markets, but any respite would probably be shortlived. A disorderly default would cause disruption of a …
22nd November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What next for “core” euro-zone bond markets? …
The yields on government bonds issued by France, Austria, Belgium and the Netherlands have risen sharply in recent weeks in a worrying sign that the euro-zone’s debt crisis is starting to rot its “core” (with the notable exception of Germany). We suspect …
21st November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … FOMC minutes may suggest QE3 is getting close …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … More pain in Spain …
18th November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … EMU break-up concerns likely to build …
17th November 2011
Details have begun to emerge of the revised debt exchange proposed for Greece. The good news is that a larger haircut will make her debt more manageable, all else equal. The bad news is that all else is not equal. Calm in the financial markets is unlikely …
16th November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Euro-zone crisis spreads to the core …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Italy – a lull in the storm? …
15th November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What next for the euro-zone? …
14th November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … How will euro-zone banks cope if Italy needs a bail-out? …
11th November 2011
This week’s surge in Italian government bond yields has catapulted the euro-zone debt crisis into a dangerous new phase. Italy’s problems pose a far greater threat to the region’s banks than those of Greece. Not surprisingly, indicators of stress in the …
10th November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Italy – too big to fail, too big to save? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Stock market implications of labour’s plunging share of income …
9th November 2011
Labour’s share of income in the US nonfarm business sector hit its lowest level since at least 1947 in Q3 according to data released last Thursday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). (See Chart 1.) A continued drop in labour’s share would be a boon …
8th November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What help from lower commodity prices? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US employment report paints a mixed picture …
7th November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … ECB action looks too little, too late …
4th November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Cannes you help? …
3rd November 2011
Investors rediscovered their appetite for risk in October amid some slightly better US economic data, reasonable US third quarter earnings numbers, renewed speculation about a third round of quantitative easing from the Fed and optimism that euro-zone …
2nd November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Optimism evaporates …
Intervention by the Japanese authorities to weaken the yen has failed to prop up the country’s ailing stock market. Admittedly, the slide in equity prices has been due to renewed concerns about the eurozone rather than to doubts about the benefits of a …
1st November 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Intervention unlikely to weaken the yen for long …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Central banks back in focus …
31st October 2011
Despite yet another round of speculation suggesting that China is about to ride to the rescue of the euro-zone, Europe will still have to solve its own problems. Meaningful Chinese support would probably require additional concessions that European …
29th October 2011
We do not expect the recent respite for risky assets to last. The outlook for the advanced economies is bleak and the growth rate of corporate earnings is set to slow. Investors’ enthusiasm for risk is also likely to be tempered soon by fresh concerns …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Euro-zone policymakers' latest grand plan lacks teeth …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Will euro-zone policymakers disappoint markets? …
28th October 2011
The resilience of the yen and a reassessment of the relative strengths of the various pressures on the Japanese currency have prompted us to change the direction of our forecasts. We now expect the yen to appreciate to 70 against the US dollar by 2012 and …
27th October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … All eyes on euro-zone policymakers …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Politicians fiddle as euro-zone slides into recession …
26th October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Waiting for a euro-zone rescue plan …
25th October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … How much capital is enough capital? …
22nd October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fundamentals for commodities not so great after all …
21st October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Prospects for inflation should prove favourable for UK gilts …
20th October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Will flagging earnings undermine the US stock market? …
19th October 2011
With the US third quarter profits season now underway, two common perceptions are that the growth rate of earnings will remain healthy, and that the value of the stock market in relation to earnings is low. We disagree with the first assessment, but take …
18th October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Emerging economies to help those who help themselves …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … 10-year US Treasury yields to fall back to 1.5% …
15th October 2011
The recent rise in 10-year US Treasury yields has taken them further away from our end-2011 forecast of around 1.5% (at the time of writing they are around 2.15%). But we continue to expect yields to fall back to 1.5% over the next few months and to …
14th October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets put their faith in Europe's politicians …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Dollar’s recovery not over yet …
13th October 2011
The dollar’s recovery against the euro may have paused but the outlook for the European single currency remains poor. The relative prospects for monetary policy and the risks of a renewed escalation of the financial crisis in the euro-zone should both …
12th October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What should we make of China's purchases of bank shares? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US labour market still quite weak …
11th October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets unimpressed by UK launch of QE2 …
8th October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Bank recapitalisation unlikely to draw a line under the crisis …
7th October 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Weak global economy to undermine riskier assets further …
6th October 2011
