Major DM Headline Inflation Forecasts (% y/y) …
12th July 2023
Qatar Real GDP (% y/y) …
Panama Real GDP (% y/y) …
Poland Real GDP (% y/y) …
Vietnam Real GDP (% y/y) …
Spain Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Italy Real GDP (% y/y) …
Japan Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Latin America Real GDP (% y/y) …
Emerging Europe Real GDP (% y/y) …
India Policy Interest Rate (%, quarterly) …
UK Policy Interest Rate (%, quarterly) …
Japan Policy Interest Rate (%, quarterly) …
Brazil Unemployment Rate (%, annual) …
Poland Unemployment Rate (%, annual) …
Germany Unemployment Rate (%, annual) …
Luxembourg Unemployment Rate (%, quarterly) …
Euro-zone Unemployment Rate (%, quarterly) …
Canada Unemployment Rate (%, quarterly) …
UK Unemployment Rate (%, quarterly) …
Japan Unemployment Rate (%, quarterly) …
France Unemployment Rate (%, monthly) …
Romania Current Account Balance (% of GDP) …
Ireland Current Account Balance (% of GDP) …
UK Government Budget Balance (% of GDP, long-term forecast) …
UK Government Budget Balance (% of GDP) …
Hong Kong Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
India Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Canada Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
UK Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Spain Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Euro-zone Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Euro-zone Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Middle East and North Africa Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
DM & EM Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
UK Underlying Inflation (% y/y) …
Probability that US economy is currently in recession …
Regional Fed Alternative Core Inflation Measures (% y/y) …
US CPI New & Used Vehicle Prices (1982-84 = 100) …
US PCE Inflation (% y/y) …
UK CPI and RPI Inflation (% y/y) …
UK Services & Core Goods CPI Inflation (% y/y) …
Eurozone Core Inflation (% y/y) & EC Retail Selling Price Expectations …
Hike to 5.0% likely to be the last The Bank of Canada’s 25bp hike today, taking the policy rate to 5.0%, is likely to be the last in this cycle. With the labour market loosening, core inflation declining and the survey indicators implying that inflation …
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. Core inflation has much further to fall The muted 0.2% m/m rise in core consumer prices in June won’t stop the Fed from hiking rates again later this month, but it supports our …
This page has been updated with additional analysis since first publication. June’s CPI data already old news Headline consumer price inflation came in at 4.8% y/y in June, comfortably within the RBI’s 2-6% tolerance range. But that’s already old news …
Our latest Chart Pack on the Middle East and North Africa is embedded below. Economic growth across the region will be much weaker this year than last and our forecasts are generally below the consensus. The latest round of OPEC+ oil output cuts will …
Industry now fully recovered from March drop The stronger-than-expected 1.0% m/m rise in Mexican industrial production in May means that the sector has now reversed all of the decline in output recorded in March. And more timely indicators point to a …
The spot price of Asia LNG should trade at a premium to Europe’s TTF gas at end-2023 given stronger demand growth in Asia and the fact that LNG is more costly to produce. The spot price of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia has periodically moved …
