Rents keeping core rate elevated, especially for CPI …
12th July 2023
PCE inflation on track to return to 2% by mid-year …
RPI inflation will fall further than CPI inflation …
CPI inflation will fall below 2% in April and below 1% later this year …
Netherlands Real GDP (% q/q since 2021) …
Policy Rates in Selected Sub-Saharan Africa Economies (%, end of year) …
Inflation in Major DMs (%, annual) …
Inflation in Selected Latin America Economies (%, annual) …
Inflation in Selected Emerging Europe Economies (%, annual) …
Real GDP in Major DMs (% y/y, annual) …
Real GDP in Selected Middle East & North Africa Economies (% y/y, annual) …
Table: Euro-zone Key Macro Variables (2015-2025) …
Japan CE GDP Nowcast and Real GDP (% q/q) …
Emerging Europe Real GDP (% q/q since 2021) …
Canada Real GDP Growth (%, quarterly since 2000) …
Germany Real GDP Growth (%, quarterly since 2021) …
Germany Real GDP Growth (%, quarterly since 2000) …
Euro-zone Real GDP Growth (%, quarterly since 2000) …
United States Real GDP (% q/q ann. since 2021) …
Table: UK Key Macro Variables (2015-2027) …
Ireland Inflation (% y/y, monthly) …
Vietnam Inflation (% y/y, monthly) …
United Kingdom Inflation (% y/y, monthly) …
Spain Inflation (% y/y, monthly) …
Germany Inflation (% y/y, monthly) …
Euro-zone Inflation (% y/y, monthly) …
Emerging Europe Inflation (% y/y, monthly) …
UK Real Household Disposable Income (£ millions, annual) …
Euro-zone Real Household Disposable Income (% y/y, annual) …
Australia Real Household Disposable Income (% y/y, annual) …
US Average Hourly Earnings (% y/y, quarterly) …
Euro-zone Wage Growth (% y/y, annual) …
US Average Hourly Earnings Growth (% y/y, annual) …
Poland Policy Interest Rate (%, quarterly) …
US Policy Interest Rate (%, quarterly) …
Euro-zone Policy Interest Rate (%, quarterly) …
Spain Unemployment Rate (%, annual) …
Romania Unemployment Rate (%, annual) …
Luxembourg Unemployment Rate (%, annual) …
Ireland Unemployment Rate (%, annual) …
Spain Unemployment Rate (%, monthly) …
Germany Unemployment Rate (%, monthly) …
UK Unemployment Rate (%, monthly) …
Euro-zone Current Account Balance (% of GDP) …
Qatar Government Budget Balance (% of GDP) …
US Government Budget Balance (% of GDP) …
Canada Government Budget Balance (% of GDP) …
Canada Underlying Inflation (% y/y) …
Probability that US economy will be in recession in 12 months (yield curve model) …
US CPI Inflation (% y/y) …
