Summary US Economic & Financial Risk Indicators (Z Scores) …
12th July 2023
Underlying Inflation in Major DMs (% y/y) …
Table: Modelled Probabilities of US Recession …
UK Food CPI Inflation (% y/y) …
European Gas Prices (% y/y) vs. Contribution of Household Energy to Headline Inflation (ppts) …
India Government Debt (% of GDP) …
UAE Real GDP (% y/y) …
Poland Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Ireland Real GDP (% y/y) …
Mexico Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Brazil Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Russia Real GDP (% y/y) …
India Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
China Real GDP (% y/y) …
Middle East and North Africa Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Emerging Europe Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Asia (ex. Japan) Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Advanced economies Real GDP (% y/y) …
Individual US Economic & Financial Risk Indicators (Z Scores) …
Costa Rica Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Switzerland Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Romania Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Luxembourg Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Ireland Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
China Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Singapore Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Korea Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Korea Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
India Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
United States Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Japan Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Australia Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Sub-Saharan Africa Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Ghana Government Debt (% of GDP) …
US Government Debt (% of GDP) …
Canada Government Debt (% of GDP, long-term forecast) …
Italy Government Debt (% of GDP) …
Major EMs Core Inflation (% 3m ann., SA) …
Canada and US Core Inflation (% 3m ann., SA) …
Switzerland Headline and Core Inflation (% 3m ann., SA) …
Brazil Headline and Core Inflation (% 3m ann., SA) …
UK Real Consumer Spending Growth (% q/q, since 2021 Q1) …
Japan Non Performing Loan (NPL) Ratio Breakdown (%) …
US Fed Funds Rate Forecast Comparison (%, end-year, CE, OIS, FOMC) …
ECB Bank Lending Survey - Change in Demand for Bank Loans (Net % balance) …
China Policy Interest Rate and 10Y Bond Yield (%, long-term forecast) …
US Policy Interest Rate (%, annual) …
EM Europe & EM Headline Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Asia (ex. Japan), Asia (ex. Japan & China) & EM Retail Sales (s.a., Dec. 19 = 100) …
US Real Personal Disposable Income and Consumer Spending ($bn, 2012 prices) …
