US Banks & Financial Risk Indicators (Z Scores) …
12th July 2023
Summary US Economic & Financial Risk Indicators (Z Scores) …
Romania 10Y Government Bond Yield (%, end of quarter) …
Poland 10Y Government Bond Yield (%, end of quarter) …
India 10-Year Government Bond Yield (%, end-of-quarter) …
But food inflation will continue to decline …
Firms' wage expectations have eased …
Timelier measures of core inflation have picked up …
UK CPI inflation is now following the paths of the US and the euro-zone …
India Government Debt (% of GDP) …
UAE Real GDP (% y/y) …
Poland Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Ireland Real GDP (% y/y) …
Mexico Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Brazil Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Russia Real GDP (% y/y) …
India Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
China Real GDP (% y/y) …
Middle East and North Africa Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Emerging Europe Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Asia (ex. Japan) Real GDP (% y/y, period averages) …
Advanced economies Real GDP (% y/y) …
Individual US Economic & Financial Risk Indicators (Z Scores) …
Costa Rica Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Switzerland Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Romania Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Luxembourg Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Ireland Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
China Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Singapore Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Korea Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Korea Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
India Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
United States Inflation (% y/y, annual) …
Japan Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Australia Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Sub-Saharan Africa Inflation (% y/y, period averages) …
Ghana Government Debt (% of GDP) …
US Government Debt (% of GDP) …
Canada Government Debt (% of GDP, long-term forecast) …
Italy Government Debt (% of GDP) …
Underlying Inflation in Major DMs (% y/y) …
Table: Modelled Probabilities of US Recession …
UK Food CPI Inflation (% y/y) …
European Gas Prices (% y/y) vs. Contribution of Household Energy to Headline Inflation (ppts) …
Major DMs Core Inflation (% 3m ann., SA) …
Sweden Headline and Core Inflation (% 3m ann., SA) …
USD/CNY (end of year) …
Euro-zone Real Consumer Spending Growth (% q/q, since 2021 Q1) …
US Real Consumer Spending Growth (% q/q ann., since 2021 Q1) …
