US Housing Market Data Response Housing Starts (Jun.) The 14.6% m/m leap in housing starts in June, to a five-month high of 629,000 from 549,000 in May, is not the start of a significant and sustained surge in homebuilding. Instead, it reflects a rebound... 20th July 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Applications (Jun.) It seems very unlikely that the recent easing in the rate at which house prices are falling can develop into sustained and significant price gains at a time when mortgage demand is still in the gutter... 7th July 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response CoreLogic House Prices (May) CoreLogic's house price data for May provide further evidence that the five-year long decline in prices may be drawing to a close. We remain concerned that prices may yet slip a little further. Either... 1st July 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Case-Shiller House Prices (Apr.) April's Case-Shiller house price data support other evidence indicating that the rate at which prices are falling has eased. On some measures, prices are actually rising. We still believe that prices... 29th June 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response New Home Sales (May) The modest 2.1% m/m decline in new home sales in May shows that homebuilders are still struggling to sell new builds at a time when housing demand remains in the doldrums and there is fierce... 24th June 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Existing Home Sales (May) Most of the 3.8% m/m fall in existing home sales in May, to a six-month low of 4.8m from 5.0m in April, was probably due to the unusually severe weather. Nevertheless, the data are still... 22nd June 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Housing Starts (May) As most of the sharp fall in housing starts in April was due to the tornados that battered the south of the nation last month, homebuilding activity will probably bounce back in May. That said, at a... 17th June 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Applications (May) The fall in 30-year mortgage rates to a six-month low of 4.5% has not boosted mortgage applications for home purchase as more lenders are asking for a higher down payment at a time when more... 8th June 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Case-Shiller House Prices (Q1) The further fall in house prices in the first quarter means that on the Case-Shiller index prices have now fallen by more than they did during the Great Depression. On that occasion, the peak in... 31st May 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response FHFA House Prices (Q1) The housing downturn has gone from bad to worse, with the FHFA index showing that prices in the first quarter fell at a faster rate than at any time since the height of the financial crisis in late... 25th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response New Home Sales (Apr.) The second consecutive strong rise in new home sales in April may even underestimate the recent rebound since the data exclude condo sales, which are probably performing better than sales of new... 24th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Delinquencies (Q1) & Existing Home Sales (Apr.) Despite the modest fall in the share of mortgages in foreclosure in the first quarter, over four million homeowners are still in serious danger of losing their home. Moreover, it is worrying that... 19th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Housing Starts (Apr.) As most of the sharp fall in housing starts in April was due to the tornados that battered the south of the nation last month, homebuilding activity will probably bounce back in May. That said, at a... 17th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Applications (Apr.) Despite the latest fall back in mortgage rates, appetite for mortgage borrowing is still stuck in a rut. This supports our view that the cost of borrowing is not the problem. Instead, a number of long... 4th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Homeownership & Vacancy Rates (Q1) The further decline in the homeownership rate in the first quarter provides yet more evidence that Americans are now less able and less willing to buy a home. The flipside is that the resulting... 27th April 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response House Prices (Feb.) House prices have started to drop at a faster pace and on some indices are now falling at rates not seen since the financial crisis. In contrast to most forecasters, we always thought that prices... 26th April 2011 · 1 min read
