UK Economics Focus Unemployment to hit ten-year high The labour market is set to be a prime casualty of the prolonged slowdown in the UK economy that is underway. We think unemployment will rise by about 700,000 by the end of 2009, taking the... 4th February 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Unemployment to hit ten-year high The labour market is set to be a prime casualty of the prolonged slowdown in the UK economy that is underway. We think unemployment will rise by about 700,000 by the end of 2009, taking the... 4th February 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Has manufacturing really reinvented itself? The structural reforms undertaken by manufacturers over the past decade are likely to cushion the blow from the global and domestic slowdowns. But the sector is still likely to enter a recession this... 22nd January 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus The final blow for consumers? We are confident that the housing market slowdown will bring the recent strong rates of household spending growth to an end. At the same time, we are optimistic that aggressive interest rate cuts will... 21st January 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus The final blow for consumers? We are confident that the housing market slowdown will bring the recent strong rates of household spending growth to an end. At the same time, we are optimistic that aggressive interest rate cuts will... 21st January 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus How long will inflation worries linger? Concerns over the outlook for UK inflation look set to linger for some months, limiting the pace at which interest rates fall and increasing the risk that the economic slowdown will prove deeper and... 17th January 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus MPC may be too sanguine about housing again With the housing market clearly slowing, the key issue is the potential impact of this on the economy and, in particular, consumer spending. During 2005’s housing slowdown, the Monetary Policy... 12th November 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus MPC may be too sanguine about housing again With the housing market clearly slowing, the key issue is the potential impact of this on the economy and, in particular, consumer spending. During 2005’s housing slowdown, the Monetary Policy... 12th November 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus The legacy of the house price boom While there are growing signs that the housing market is now slowing, the full effects, both good and bad, of the previous surge in house prices have yet to be felt. Mortgage debt will continue to... 29th October 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus MPC may need to let high street spending slump The outlook for consumer price inflation hangs crucially on the strength of activity in the high street. If retail spending continues to grow at recent solid rates, retailers will pass on previous... 25th October 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus MPC may need to let high street spending slump The outlook for consumer price inflation hangs crucially on the strength of activity in the high street. If retail spending continues to grow at recent solid rates, retailers will pass on previous... 25th October 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Is the UK economy finally set to rebalance? The rise in official interest rates seen over the last year, coupled with the recent turmoil in the financial markets, may finally provide the trigger for some unwinding of the UK economy’s imbalances... 10th October 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Pre-Budget Report 2007 Now we know why the Prime Minister chose not to go to the country early. The economic and financial position has worsened such that it would now only be possible to give some significant pre-election... 9th October 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus UK Pre-Budget Report 2007 Now we know why the Prime Minister chose not to go to the country early. The economic and financial position has worsened such that it would now only be possible to give some significant pre-election... 9th October 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus UK Pre-Budget Report Preview - A pre-election splash? Make no bones about it, this year’s Pre-Budget Report (PBR) will have one aim and one aim only – to ensure that Gordon Brown wins a general election. We expect some fairly large tax cuts purely... 4th October 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus UK Pre-Budget Report Preview - A pre-election splash? Make no bones about it, this year’s Pre-Budget Report (PBR) will have one aim and one aim only – to ensure that Gordon Brown wins a general election. We expect some fairly large tax cuts purely... 4th October 2007 · 1 min read
