RBA Watch The RBA’s criteria for further rate cuts haven’t been met…yet The turmoil in financial markets, the stagnation in employment growth and the recent rises in bank lending rates to businesses are unlikely to have spooked the Reserve Bank of Australia by enough to... 24th February 2016 · 1 min read
RBA Watch Market turmoil won’t prompt action The recent turmoil in financial markets will have brought a sudden end to Governor Stevens ’“chilled” Christmas period. But this won’t be enough to prompt the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut... 25th January 2016 · 1 min read
RBA Watch Rates on hold, but RBA’s job not done yet The flow of positive economic news since the last Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting makes it a sure bet that the RBA will leave rates on hold at 2.0% for the seventh consecutive month when the... 24th November 2015 · 1 min read
RBA Watch Kneejerk reaction to rising mortgage rates unlikely The tightening in monetary conditions triggered by the recent rises in mortgage rates by the major banks and the strengthening in the dollar is unlikely to prompt the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)... 27th October 2015 · 1 min read
RBA Watch China concerns unlikely to prompt action Concerns over the health of China’s economy and the fall in domestic equity prices are unlikely to prompt the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut interest rates from 2.0% at the meeting on Tuesday... 29th September 2015 · 1 min read
RBA Watch Chances of rate cuts diminishing, but not disappearing The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is odds on to leave interest rates on hold at 2.0% at the meeting scheduled for Tuesday 1 st September and the chances of further rate cuts are diminishing. A... 26th August 2015 · 1 min read
RBA Watch Lower potential growth wouldn’t rule out rate cuts It looks as though the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will break this year’s pattern of cutting interest rates at meetings that are followed by the release of the Statement on Monetary Policy by... 29th July 2015 · 1 min read
RBA Watch Biding its time The mixed tone of the data released since the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) last policy meeting probably isn’t enough to spur the Bank to cut interest rates from 2.0% at the meeting scheduled for... 1st July 2015 · 1 min read
RBA Watch RBA presses pause, not stop While the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is highly likely to leave interest rates on hold at 2.0% at its policy meeting on Tuesday 2 nd June, we think it will cut rates further later this year. Our... 26th May 2015 · 1 min read
RBA Watch Keeping its rate cut promise The recent stronger-than-expected data means that a cut in interest rates at the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) policy meeting on Tuesday 5 th May is no longer a done deal. But we still think the... 28th April 2015 · 1 min read
RBA Watch Why wait? Regardless of whether the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cuts interest rates from the current rate of 2.25% to 2.00% at the April or May policy meeting (we slightly favour a move at the meeting on... 1st April 2015 · 1 min read