Global Economic Outlook Steady as she goes The world economy has shrugged off the result of the UK’s EU referendum and looks set to gain some momentum next year. In the US, rising core inflation will prompt the Fed to raise rates more rapidly... 19th October 2016 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook Life after Brexit For the world as a whole, the economic impact of the UK’s vote to leave the European Union should be negligible. Nonetheless, growth looks set to remain lacklustre in advanced economies. And with... 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook Getting used to lower growth Global growth was sluggish in the first quarter, but it is likely to pick up a bit during the rest of the year. A policy-induced rebound in China and recovery in the prices of key commodities should... 19th April 2016 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook Market turmoil not justified by economic reality Despite the prevailing gloom about the world economy, we think global growth will pick up from around 2½% last year to 3% in both 2016 and 2017, using our own estimates for China. Growth should be... 20th January 2016 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook A curate’s egg The global recovery has slowed this year but is likely to accelerate again during the coming quarters. We expect world GDP growth to be only 2½% for 2015, using our own estimates for China, but to... 20th October 2015 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook Weathering the storms Global growth rebounded in the second quarter and should pick up a bit further in the coming two years. In advanced economies, demand will be supported by low oil prices and improving consumer... 16th July 2015 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook More winners than losers The pace of global growth slowed in the first quarter, but it is likely to recover during the rest of the year and in 2016. The windfall gains from lower oil prices, rising employment and continued... 17th April 2015 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook Oiling the wheels Global growth has slowed in recent months, but we still expect world GDP to expand by just over 3% this year and next. The slump in oil prices should have a positive impact overall, even though it... 21st January 2015 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook Euro-zone holding back recovery (again) Global growth is likely to accelerate slightly next year but to remain well below its pre-crisis average. Strong recoveries in the US and UK will be offset by near-stagnation in the eurozone and Japan... 15th October 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook Getting back to normal Global growth is likely to accelerate a bit during the coming two years while inflation and interest rates should generally remain very low. The US and UK are set for a period of fairly rapid growth... 11th July 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook West to outperform East The world economy should expand steadily in the coming two years, helped by an increasingly strong recovery in the US. However, while the euro-zone has stabilised, it is not growing fast enough to... 14th April 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook A brighter outlook We expect global growth to pick up gradually during the coming two years as private sector spending accelerates and fiscal austerity eases. Among advanced economies, the US will lead the recovery... 17th January 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook Recovery looking stronger Global growth is likely to accelerate gradually next year as activity in the US gathers pace and the euro-zone's fragile recovery continues. Among the emerging economies, growth in China may slow... 15th October 2013 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook Recovery to remain subdued The world economy is likely to grow at a moderate pace this year and next. The US should be able to withstand a gradual withdrawal of stimulus by the Fed, and Japan is on track for steady growth... 9th July 2013 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook An unbalanced and weak recovery The global economy is likely to grow at only a moderate pace this year and the divergences between regions are set to widen further. The US should resume its steady recovery but there is little... 18th April 2013 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook On the mend? The world economy is likely to grow at a similar pace this year as in 2012. Some downside risks have diminished, at least for now, including the threat of euro break-up, the US fiscal cliff and a... 15th January 2013 · 1 min read
