Europe Commercial Property Focus Are Polish capital values likely to plunge again? The impact of the 2009 Polish economic slowdown on commercial property prices was exaggerated by the huge boom in rents and ‘over-convergence’ of property yields that characterised the preceding few... 15th May 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus GOEF crisis enters new phase Looming deadlines for stricken German open-ended funds to complete their liquidation processes – or hand over remaining assets to their respective custodian banks – mean that the supply of property... 22nd April 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus Why are office rents more volatile in Madrid than Barcelona? In each of the previous two cycles, office rents rose much further in Madrid than Barcelona. But there is nothing to suggest that structural features of the Madrid market lie behind the more volatile... 7th March 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus The development potential of Poland's industrial market Given its relatively bright medium-term economic growth prospects, the outlook for Poland’s industrial occupier market over the next few years was already pretty decent. Over and above this, though... 17th December 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus Is it too soon to look beyond core European property markets? Above-average falls in rental values and a rising yield gap with core markets both suggest that there is growing scope for commercial property in the peripheral euro-zone economies to outperform... 4th December 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus Have Irish commercial property values reached a floor? The tone of both of today’s commercial property data releases was downbeat. Although the latest Bank of England survey showed that credit supply in the sector has improved slightly, borrowers are not... 25th October 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus In which German city is the office rental outlook best? Over the next five years we think that, with regard to the outlook for rental values, the composition of its occupier base and its low level of rental values means that, on average, Frankfurt is... 20th September 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus Will safe-haven flows prevent a fall in Stockholm office values? Sweden’s strong economic fundamentals and high transparency scores have boosted overseas demand for Stockholm office property and pushed yields down to historically low levels. But we are sceptical... 28th August 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus How will European retail rental values weather a fresh recession? Over the next couple of years, the response of Western European retail rental values to weak consumer spending is likely to be muted, in other words more similar to the experience of 2008/9 than to... 24th July 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus What will a break-up mean for euro-zone commercial property? The economic and financial market dislocations that will arise from a break-up of the euro-zone will have severe, negative consequences for euro-zone commercial property markets. Indeed, we think that... 9th December 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus Office development tax hike adds downside risk to Paris rental outlook This year’s changes to property taxation in Ile de France could result in a larger proportion of the potential office development pipeline being delivered to the market than otherwise might be... 28th October 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus How good is the long-run outlook for Turkish property returns? Strong economic growth in Turkey over the next 10 to 15 years should support an above average decline in commercial property yields, as well as reasonably strong rental value growth. Our central view... 26th May 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus Investment case for the Italian retail market remains weak Italy’s historic position as one of the euro-zone’s most expensive retail markets might suggest that the recent stability of Italian retail yields, while yields in other euro-zone markets have fallen... 8th February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus Brussels offices: a safe bet in uncertain times? The experience of the early 2000s was that the Brussels office market prospered in a weak macroeconomic environment. With the euro-zone economy now facing another protracted period of subtrend... 14th October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus How much further will Russian property yields fall? Compared to US Government bonds and Russian equities, as well as property markets in other countries, Russian property still appears to be attractively priced. As such, investment demand looks set to... 1st October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus How far do Emerging European headline rents respond to FX swings? Our analysis of the recent recession confirms that the volatility of headline retail rents in Emerging Europe can be exacerbated by swings in the exchange rate. Indeed, we estimate that each 1% fall... 3rd August 2010 · 1 min read
