Energy Update Talks of oil production freeze too little too late We are sceptical that renewed talks of a production freeze by OPEC and other large producers will lead to an actual deal. Even if there is an agreement this time round, we doubt that freezing output... 8th August 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Has the rally in coal prices burnt out? Continued falls in demand and lower Chinese imports in the second half of the year should put downward pressure on coal prices, even if small stocks support prices in the near term. 5th August 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Oil prices more likely to rise than fall The recent falls in oil prices have raised concerns that the fuel could be entering a new bear market. However, we think that oil prices are more likely to rebound a little by the end of the year than... 2nd August 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Déjà vu for oil prices? The rally in oil prices over the first half of the year, combined with the recent pull-back, has mirrored the movements in prices in the first half of 2015. However, rather than prices continuing to... 27th July 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Fewer disruptions to oil supplies should limit price gains The return of production from Canada and Nigeria along with a potential increase in output from Libya over the next few months should put some downward pressure on prices. 13th July 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update How could Brexit affect North Sea oil production? The slump in oil prices since 2014 poses a bigger threat to North Sea output than the UK’s vote to leave the EU (‘Brexit’). However, heightened uncertainty, potential tax changes and the possibility... 8th July 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Coal supply to fall further this year, but so should demand The rally in coal prices over the past month has boosted investor sentiment. Admittedly, production in China, the US and Indonesia has finally started to fall. But prices have now risen to levels... 5th July 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Increased US drilling activity to limit upside for oil prices Early signs that rising crude prices have induced oil companies to bring drilling rigs back online suggest that US output could rise sooner than previously thought, especially in light of the... 20th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Are renewables jumping the queue? A surge in investment in renewable energy capacity over the last few years has led to these alternative power sources taking market share from fossil fuels. This trend looks set to continue over the... 17th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Nigerian oil output disruptions are another wildcard for prices It is likely that further disruptions to Nigerian oil output over the next few weeks and months will continue to support oil prices, even as production from Canada returns. 9th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Weather forecasts heat up US natural gas prices Forecasts of an abnormally hot summer should continue to see strong demand for electricity supporting US gas prices. But high production and stocks will limit the upside. 8th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Rally in coal prices likely to be smothered We think that despite the recent optimism that the worst may be over for coal prices, the ongoing structural decline in demand over the next few years will probably lead to a renewed fall in prices. 7th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update What are the prospects for Latin American oil? Declining output of crude in Latin America is one factor supporting our view that the global oil market will return to balance on a more sustainable basis by the end of 2016. That said, we think it is... 27th May 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Three reasons to be wary of the latest surge in oil prices The continued recovery in the price of crude oil has lifted Brent close to $50 per barrel, prompting a wave of positive headlines and upward revisions to analysts’ forecasts. However, for now we are... 16th May 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update European gas prices will undershoot oil price recovery We are forecasting that the price of Brent Crude will reach $60 per barrel by the end of next year, but there are several reasons why we do not expect European natural gas prices to experience a... 12th May 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Oil production outages supporting prices, for now Disruptions to oil output around the world have put the brakes on the slide in oil prices since the beginning of this month. However, these production outages should only be temporary. When output is... 10th May 2016 · 1 min read
