Commodities Outlook Short-term pain, long-term gain We think that the prices of most commodities will fall this year as global economic growth remains weak and investor risk aversion returns. While policy in China has become more accommodative, it is... 17th April 2019 · 1 min read
Energy Outlook Global slowdown to drive a fall in energy prices Our forecast of slower global growth in 2019-20 is a key factor underpinning our bearish outlook for the prices of oil and coal. What’s more, we expect further declines in global equity markets and a... 29th January 2019 · 1 min read
Metals Outlook Industrial metals to fall further, before 2020 rebound Global demand growth is set to slow to its weakest pace since the global financial crisis, causing investor sentiment towards industrial metals to deteriorate. Both of these factors should drag... 28th January 2019 · 1 min read
Commodities Outlook It will get worse, before it gets better Our forecast of slower global economic growth in 2019 poses a major headwind for commodity prices this year. What’s more, we are expecting further falls in global equity prices, which suggests that... 24th January 2019 · 1 min read
Metals Outlook Precious metals to outshine industrials in 2019 An economic slowdown in China and less severe cuts to Chinese capacity should lead to lower industrial metals prices over the next year. In contrast, precious metals prices should gain from safe-haven... 26th October 2018 · 1 min read
Energy Outlook Softer demand to weigh on oil and coal Oil and coal prices look set to ease back over the next year as slower global economic activity constrains demand. At the same time, recent high prices have been incentivising supply. In contrast... 25th October 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Outlook Hard to be positive on 2019 Our forecast of slower global growth next year points to weaker growth in commodities demand and lower prices. Of course, the prices of many non-oil commodities have already fallen sharply this year... 19th October 2018 · 1 min read
Metals Outlook More weakness ahead for metals The prices of most metals have plummeted over the past few months, in large part reflecting the appreciation of the US dollar. But negative investor sentiment exacerbated the moves down in prices... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Energy Outlook Headwinds building for oil and coal prices Energy prices have generally risen over the past few months, despite an appreciating dollar. Strong demand and, in the case of oil, fears about disruptions to supply have boosted prices. However, we... 31st July 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Outlook Trade woes to continue to weigh on prices Concerns about a possible downturn in demand are expected to remain a factor weighing on most commodity prices in the coming months. There are now clear signs that China’s economy has entered a softer... 30th July 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Outlook Too soon to worry about supply Commodity prices have generally had a strong start to the year, boosted in particular by risks to supply. However, in many cases, supply has not been disrupted yet and the worst fears of supply... 20th April 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Outlook Is the party over? Commodity prices started 2018 on a high, bolstered by optimism about global growth prospects and the ongoing depreciation of the US dollar. However, we think there are now clear signs that growth in... 9th February 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Outlook Commodities to consolidate in 2018 Commodity prices have risen in the second half of 2017, boosted by strong Chinese demand and, in some cases, heightened geopolitical risk. Looking ahead, we expect prices to drift lower over the... 30th October 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Outlook All good, for now Commodity prices have held up well over the last quarter, encouraged by positive economic data out of China, falling expectations of US interest rate rises and signs that crude oil stocks are finally... 24th July 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Outlook Downhill from here The prices of many commodities have come off the boil recently on fading optimism about demand, rising geopolitical risk and the prospect of further US monetary tightening and dollar appreciation. Of... 26th April 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Outlook Time to sound a note of caution Commodity prices continued their strong run in the early weeks of 2017, but we are concerned that investor optimism may fade in the months ahead. Prices have been buoyed by the pick-up in China’s... 10th February 2017 · 1 min read
