Energy Chart Pack More to the weakness in energy prices than trade While President Trump’s latest tariff threat has added yet more fuel to the oil market’s fears about slowing global growth, the continued malaise in the prices of coal and natural gas reflects more... 2nd August 2019 · 6 mins read
Commodities Chart Pack Subdued demand to remain a headwind With the exception of the precious metals, most commodity prices drifted lower in July on concerns about soft demand. Given our forecast of slower global economic growth in the second half of this... 31st July 2019 · 7 mins read
Energy Chart Pack Weak demand to keep a lid on oil prices Oil prices rose a little in June on a combination of escalating US-Iran tensions, signs of a truce in the US-China trade war and the expectation that OPEC+ would extend its production cuts. However... 4th July 2019 · 6 mins read
Metals Chart Pack Clouds gathering over metals demand The key themes last month were a marked decline in expectations for global growth and a dash for safe-haven assets by investors. Even the recent easing of tensions in the US-China trade dispute has... 4th July 2019 · 7 mins read
Commodities Chart Pack ‘Glass half empty’ sentiment to prevail While June was a relatively positive month for commodity prices, we think that a combination of slower global growth and waning risk appetite will lead to lower prices for energy and industrial metals... 3rd July 2019 · 7 mins read
Energy Chart Pack Oil‘s plunge makes rollover of OPEC cuts more likely Caught up in the broader sell-off in risky assets triggered by the latest escalation in trade tensions, oil prices have plunged in recent weeks, and the prices of most other energy commodities have... 6th June 2019 · 1 min read
Metals Chart Pack Risk aversion is another headwind for metals prices The recent escalation in global trade tensions and ongoing weakness in the world economy have led to a sell-off in risky assets, including most industrial metals. In contrast, the price of gold has... 6th June 2019 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack Risk aversion looks here to stay After plunging in May, we expect the prices of most energy and industrial commodities to remain subdued in 2019 on the back of slower global growth and a rise in investor risk aversion. Grains may be... 4th June 2019 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack Oil supply fears fading fast The price of oil rose a little last month owing in part to supply concerns regarding the US decision to end sanction waivers on Iran’s oil exports. We now expect Iran’s output to fall further and have... 9th May 2019 · 1 min read
Metals Chart Pack China weakness to weigh on prices regardless of trade The prices of most industrial metals fell over the past month, and were hit particularly hard in recent days by downbeat Chinese manufacturing surveys, and US-China trade talks taking a turn for the... 8th May 2019 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack A US-China trade deal could lift commodity prices The prices of oil and iron ore made further gains in April owing to continued supply-side concerns, but the prices of most other commodities fell. Indeed, we also expect iron ore and oil prices to... 2nd May 2019 · 1 min read
Metals Chart Pack Supply concerns provide price support, for now The prices of industrial metals generally held on to year-to-date gains in March, due to supply fears coupled with investor optimism around a successful resolution to US-China trade talks. Even if a... 3rd April 2019 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack Shaky fundamentals to derail oil price rally Oil prices saw their strongest quarterly gain in almost ten years in Q1 2019. However, we expect that this recent upturn will begin to subside and that the fundamentals of elevated US supply and... 2nd April 2019 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack Energy price divergence to unwind The prices of most commodities struggled to find direction in March, although oil made some further gains. If a US-China trade deal is signed in April, prices may revive but we suspect that any rally... 1st April 2019 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack Boost to oil from lower supply unlikely to last The price of oil continued to climb in February as the US and China inched towards a trade deal, and Saudi Arabia announced that it would cut output further. However, we still think that prices will... 6th March 2019 · 1 min read
Metals Chart Pack Risk appetite likely to fade Increasing signs of a US-China trade deal prompted a return of risk appetite and led to the prices of many industrial metals hitting multi-month highs and a sell-off in gold and silver. However, even... 6th March 2019 · 1 min read
