BoE Watch

BoE Watch offers expert analysis on the Bank of England's next moves. Published a week before each MPC meeting, this report explores how policymakers may respond to economic developments and shape UK interest rates. BoE Watch is part of our suite of analysis, data products, and economist engagement services designed to keep investors ahead of the curve.

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BoE Watch

Economy not weak enough to trigger consecutive rate cuts

Despite the weak news on the domestic economy and the deterioration in the global outlook, we doubt the Bank of England will follow the ECB’s lead and cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) next...

12th December 2024 5 mins read

BoE Watch

Will the BoE start to cut interest rates quicker?

The Bank of England will almost certainly cut interest rates for the second time in this cycle, from 5.00% to 4.75%, at the meeting on Thursday 7th November. But it is unlikely to hint that it intends...

31st October 2024 8 mins read

BoE Watch

Slow pace of rate cuts initially, before quickening next year

We agree with the widespread expectation that the 25 basis point (bps) cut in interest rates in August will be followed by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) leaving rates at 5.00% on Thursday 19th...

13th September 2024 6 mins read

BoE Watch

It’s close, but BoE to keep rates on hold for a little longer

While it will be a very close call, the economy’s recent strength and the stickiness of services inflation leads us to think that the Bank of England will wait until its September meeting to cut...

25th July 2024 6 mins read

BoE Watch

BoE not ready to follow in the ECB’s footsteps…yet

Far more interesting than the probable decision by the Bank of England to leave interest rates at 5.25% on Thursday 20th June will be any clues on how soon and how far rates will be cut. If inflation...

13th June 2024 6 mins read

BoE Watch

Could the BoE tee up a June rate cut?

The Bank of England will almost certainly leave interest rates at 5.25% on Thursday 9th May and we suspect it will imply it’s still not quite ready to cut rates. That said, there’s a chance it instead...

2nd May 2024 9 mins read

BoE Watch

Sounding hawkish, but data may soon change the BoE’s tune

At the policy meeting on Thursday 21st March, the Bank of England will almost certainly keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25% for the sixth time in a row and retain its hawkish guidance. But we...

14th March 2024 6 mins read

BoE Watch

Taking the first steps towards rate cuts

At the policy meeting on Thursday 1 st February, the Bank of England will probably throw in the towel on the pretence that interest rates could rise further and take the first steps towards cutting...

25th January 2024 6 mins read

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