10th May 2024 “Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics stressed that the below-target inflation projection implies that the “Bank thinks rates may need to fall a bit further than the market path it used to generate its forecasts”. View article
Weak productivity and Trump tariffs: the chancellor remains in perilous fiscal waters “There is an air of unfinished business here,” said Paul Dales at Capital Economics. “Reeves said the world is changing, but fiscal policy hasn’t changed much at all. It is a bit of tinkering that... 27th March 2025 · Financial Times
What’s at stake in the US-UK trade talks? “The barriers we have put up against the EU are far more important than any we could take down with the US,” said Paul Dales, UK economist at Capital Economics. 3rd March 2025 · Financial Times
US and UK in talks on trade deal that could spare Britain from tariffs While a full-blown trade deal with the US faces prodigious hurdles, it would be a “real bonus” if the UK achieves the more modest goal of avoiding the imposition of Trump tariffs, said Paul Dales, UK... 28th February 2025 · Financial Times
