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Housing Starts (Jun.)

Housing starts bounced-back in June, and are now down only 4% y/y. A surge in housing demand to 10-year highs, and a lack of existing home inventory, has boosted new home sales and reversed all the COVID-related drop in homebuilder confidence. That implies starts will see further gains, but surging lumber prices and new lockdowns argue against a return to pre-virus levels by the end of the year.

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