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Durable Goods (Mar.)

The 14.4% m/m slump in durable goods orders in March was principally due to a massive 295.7% m/m decline in commercial aircraft orders, with core orders down by only 0.2%m/m. The upshot is that business investment in equipment appears to have contracted only trivially over the first quarter, although we still anticipate a collapse at the start of the second quarter.

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