After starting its loosening cycle with a bang, we expect the Fed to take a more measured approach to cutting interest rates from now on.
The latest edition of this quarterly report captures the US economy at a key moment in its economic and policy cycle, providing analysis for the remainder of this year and into 2025. It addresses key economic and policy issues, including:
- How quickly the Federal Reserve will lower rates after the 'big bang' start to its easing cycle;
- Why, despite a cooling labour market, we expect GDP growth to remain strong for the next couple of years;
- How the outcome of this November's election could result in stagflationary economic conditions.
Download a complimentary copy of this report now to understand how the US outlook will fare as rates start falling and November's big vote approaches.
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Report authors
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Paul Ashworth
Chief North America Economist
Paul Ashworth is our Chief North America Economist, with overall responsibility for our coverage of the US and Canada.
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Olivia Cross
Climate and Commodities Economist
Olivia Cross is a Climate and Commodities Economist who joined the Capital Economics graduate training scheme in September 2021. She previously spent a year on placement at the company as part of her undergraduate degree. Olivia holds a degree in Economics with Politics from Loughborough University.
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