Metals Demand Monitor Metals Demand Monitor (Jan.) Our in-house demand proxies for industrial metals picked up at the start of 2023, which is consistent with China re-opening and resilient macroeconomic data in most advanced economies. What’s more, we... 19th April 2023 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Oil will be scarcer than previously expected The surprise announcement last weekend by OPEC+ countries that they would make voluntary oil production cuts, even before the OPEC advisory committee met on Monday, pushed oil prices higher by about... 6th April 2023 · 6 mins read
Commodities Outlook The energy crisis is over, but prices to stay elevated We expect most commodity prices to drift lower in the near term as advanced economies enter mild recessions and financial market risk aversion persists. A stronger US dollar will also weigh on prices... 31st March 2023 · 41 mins read
Industrial Metals Update US steel prices on a tear, but not for long The ongoing rally in the US steel price appears supply-driven and will, most likely, be short-lived. We expect the rally to fizzle out and go into reverse as the US economy slides into recession. 30th March 2023 · 2 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Feb.) There were a few positive signs in February’s steel production figures; output in China grew healthily and production in advanced economies (DMs) appears to have troughed. However, any rebound in DM... 23rd March 2023 · 2 mins read
Commodities Update China’s oil imports to pick up from here China’s imports were weak in January-February, but commodity imports fared better. What’s more, we think crude oil imports, in particular, will pick up from here given the resurgence in travel demand. 7th March 2023 · 2 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Jan.) Global steel output remained depressed in January and is unlikely to pick up markedly in the coming months. However, a rebound in China’s demand and lower power costs in Europe should prompt some... 22nd February 2023 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Russian petroleum product exports to struggle The EU’s ban on imports of Russian petroleum products will come into force on Sunday, which could raise EU fuel prices and weigh on Russia’s product exports. However, we suspect Russia will offer... 3rd February 2023 · 6 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Dec. & 2022) Global steel output slumped in December and fell sharply in 2022 as a whole. With demand likely to be weak, at least in the first half of 2023, we do not expect a marked rebound any time soon. 31st January 2023 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly All eyes will remain on China It was a fairly quiet week in commodity markets. The only notable move was a slump in natural gas prices. The EU eventually agreed its long-discussed natural gas price cap early in the week, but it... 23rd December 2022 · 6 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Nov.) Global steel output is now firmly in contractionary territory by any measure. With several headwinds unlikely to relent soon, it is likely that output will weaken even further from here. 22nd December 2022 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Huge risks associated with China reopening The raft of inflation data and central bank policy decisions were key drivers of prices this week, but to some extent China stole the show. We now think that a dismantling of the zero-COVID policy is... 16th December 2022 · 6 mins read
Commodities Outlook The global recession isn’t done with commodities yet Tight financial conditions and China’s biggest COVID outbreak yet mean global economic growth will slow further in the first quarter of next year, dragging most commodity prices lower. The slowdown... 16th December 2022 · 2 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Oct.) Global steel production growth is deteriorating a bit faster than we had thought. Even very flattering base effects failed to keep steel output growth in positive territory. With global economic... 22nd November 2022 · 2 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Sep.) Although base effects will boost output in y/y terms in the final months of this year, the bigger picture is that slower economic activity and still-high energy costs will weigh on global steel demand... 25th October 2022 · 2 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Aug.) A pick-up in supply from China boosted global steel production in August. However, with economic activity starting to slow and high energy costs across the world, the outlook is for steel production... 22nd September 2022 · 2 mins read
